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Cendant
Corporation To Reduce Valuation Of Mortgage Servicing Asset Company
Cendant
Corporation announced that its earnings will be reduced by
approximately $175 million, or $0.17 per share, in third quarter
2002 due to a non-cash write-down of the carrying value of its mortgage
servicing rights (MSR) asset, which is the capitalized value of
expected future servicing earnings. The impact of this reduction
in earnings is partially offset by strength in other Cendant business
units. As a result, the Companys forecast for third quarter
adjusted EPS has been reduced from $0.42 to $0.28 per share.
Cendants
previously announced projection for fourth quarter 2002 adjusted
EPS of $0.29 is unchanged. For 2003, the Companys preliminary
adjusted EPS expectation is $1.55 to $1.60. As a result of the revision
to the Companys third quarter forecast, the adjusted EPS from
continuing operations for 2002 is now expected to be $1.26. In the
third quarter, a steep decline in the interest rates on ten-year
Treasury Notes and 30-year mortgages has resulted in the lowest
interest rate levels in 41 years. As a result, the Company said,
mortgage loan prepayments and refinancings by homeowners have increased
to record levels.
This
rise in mortgage prepayments has, in turn, caused Cendant to determine
that its MSR asset will be reduced in accordance with generally
accepted accounting principles (GAAP), which require a revaluation
to the lower of cost or market value at each quarter end. Based
on the unprecedented amount of refinancing caused by historically
low interest rates, it now appears that the models we have used
to value the MSR asset in the past are not as effective in estimating
the volume of prepayments and refinancings that are occurring in
this new environment.
Kevin
M Sheeham, Cendants chief financial officer said, While
the level of prepayment activity of our servicing portfolio remains
below the industry average, our existing valuation model and the
risk management strategies used to hedge against reductions in interest
rates under-estimated the velocity of refinancing due to the rate
shocks experienced in the last 30 to 40 days. As a result, we are
adopting a recently released valuation model and revising certain
of our assumptions in order to better reflect the sensitivity of
our MSR asset value to consumer behaviour. He further added,
With our continuing risk management activities, and the adoption
of the new valuation model with revised assumptions, we believe
the company has enhanced its ability to value our MSR portfolio.
The charge reflects both the adoption of the new valuation model
and an adjustment to the value under the existing model due to the
lower interest rates. However, the company is currently benefiting,
and will continue to benefit, from the increase in refinancing activity,
as mortgage originations remain at record levels.
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